UFC Fight Night 253 predictions: Who’s picking against Manel Kape in Vegas?

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The UFC is back on its home turf this week with flyweight contenders at the top of the bill.

UFC Fight Night 253 (ESPN+) takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Get pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Danny Barlow vs. Sam Patterson

Records: Barlow (9-0 MMA, 2-0 UFC), Patterson (12-2-1 MMA, 2-1 UFC)
Past five: Barlow 5-0, Patterson 4-1
Division: Welterweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.01.25): Barlow -305, Patterson +245
Junkie pick results: Barlow 11, Patterson 0

Danny Barlow vs. Sam Patterson

Hyder Amil vs. William Gomis

Records: Amil (10-0 MMA, 2-0 UFC), Gomis (14-2 MMA, 4-0 UFC)
Past five: Amil 5-0, Gomis 5-0
Division: Featherweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.01.25): Amil +170, Gomis -205
Junkie pick results: Amil 8, Gomis 3

Hyder Amil vs. William Gomis

Nasrat Haqparast vs. Esteban Ribovics

Records: Haqparast (17-5 MMA, 9-4 UFC), Ribovics (14-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC)
Past five: Haqparast 4-1, Ribovics 4-1
Division: Lightweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.01.25): Haqparast +210, Ribovics -260
Junkie pick results: Ribovics 9, Haqparast 2

Nasrat Haqparast vs. Esteban Ribovics

Cody Brundage vs. Julian Marquez

Records: Brundage (10-6 MMA, 4-5 UFC), Marquez (9-5 MMA, 3-4 UFC)
Past five: Brundage 2-3, Marquez 2-3
Division: Middleweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.01.25): Brundage +100, Marquez -120
Junkie pick results: Brundage 8, Marquez 3

Cody Brundage vs. Julian Marquez

Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev

Records: Kape (20-7 MMA, 6-3 UFC), Almabayev (21-2 MMA, 4-0 UFC)
Past five: Kape 4-1, Almabayev 5-0
Division: Flyweight
Rankings: Kape No. 6, Almabayev No. 14
Odds (as of 03.01.25): Kape -220, Almabayev +180
Junkie pick results: Kape 10, Almabayev 1

Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev

Preliminary card picks

Although they don’t count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:

  • Austen Lane vs. Mario Pinto: Pinto 11, Lane 0
  • Chepe Mariscal vs. Ricardo Ramos: Mariscal 11, Ramos 0
  • JJ Aldrich vs. Andrea Lee: Aldirch 11, Lee 0
  • Lucas Almeida vs. Danny Silva: Silva 7, Almeida 4
  • Charles Johnson vs. Ramazan Temirov: Johnson 8, Temirov 3

Andrea Lee vs. JJ Aldrich

Check out all the main card picks below.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC Fight Night 253.

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